TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many field goals each team scores. It allows participants to speculate on whether a team will achieve a certain number of field goals during the match. The outcome depends solely on the official game statistics.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the number of field goals scored by each team in the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals for either team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds that threshold. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of game delays. The markets are independent but interconnected through these shared conditions, allowing for varied betting opportunities on field goal performance.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see prediction market prices move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the diverse perspectives represented in each venue. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain number of field goals, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the event.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of field goals scored by both the New York and Detroit teams during the game will determine the result. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning contracts. Traders will be able to view the confirmed outcome on Kalshi following the game’s completion and official data release.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Detroit teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to affect kicking or passing, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team performance could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi themselves can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting shifts in collective belief.