TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance metrics in a specific football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve predetermined yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving plays. The outcome depends entirely on the players' statistical contributions during the match.
All markets in this event resolve based on whether specified players record particular thresholds of combined rushing and receiving yards in the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. Each market defines a unique yardage benchmark that must be met or exceeded by the named player for a 'Yes' resolution. If a relevant player is active for the game but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is later nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly according to the total rushing and receiving yards they actually record during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets in this event, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each defined performance threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, reflecting their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, tends to be more efficient and can sometimes offer more favorable odds, especially as the event approaches. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and widely publicized, serving as a common benchmark for evaluating the probabilities implied by this market. It's valuable to compare both to form a well-rounded assessment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the likelihood of the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders react to news, analysis, and each other's trading activity. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities based on the wisdom of the crowd, distinct from static odds set by a sportsbook.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players in question will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The official NFL statistics will serve as the definitive record for settlement, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence this market. Injury reports concerning the key players involved are significant, as any change in their playing status would directly impact their potential yardage. Weather conditions on game day could also play a role, potentially affecting the overall offensive strategy and individual player performance. Unexpected news regarding coaching decisions or changes in offensive schemes could also shift the market. Finally, any late-breaking analysis from respected sports analysts could sway trader sentiment and move the odds.