TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often specific players get the ball during an upcoming football game between New York and Detroit. The outcomes depend on whether designated players receive a minimum number of rushing attempts. Settlements consider player availability and in-game participation.
All markets resolve based on the number of rushing attempts recorded by specified players during the New York Jets vs Detroit Lions game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the stated minimum rushing attempts or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If a player is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing attempts recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets for this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of player performance thresholds.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professionals aiming to maximize profit, while this market relies on the collective judgment of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception diverges from expert analysis. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, reflecting the evolving consensus. The current market price represents the aggregated assessment of all traders on Kalshi regarding the total rushing attempts in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing attempts in the New York J vs. Detroit game, as officially recorded by the NFL, will determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key running backs on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts predicting rain or snow, which could affect the game plan. Late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to increased volume and price movement in this market.