TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of receptions achieved by various players in a specific football game. Each market focuses on whether a designated player reaches a certain reception threshold during the match. The outcomes are determined purely by the players' performance in terms of catching passes.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified player records the stated number of receptions or more in the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on actual receptions recorded. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation regardless of the reception threshold specified.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates insights from individuals actively forecasting the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and trading contracts at favorable prices, driving the market towards a consensus view on the number of receptions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of receptions made by players from New York and Detroit during the game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and accurate outcome. Traders will be able to view the finalized results on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game and official data release.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. News regarding player injuries to key receivers on either New York or Detroit would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor passing or running offenses, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in the game plan could also shift expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding team dynamics or player availability will be closely watched by traders and reflected in the market price.