TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of quarterbacks Jared Goff and Geno Smith in a specific football game between New York J and Detroit. The outcomes depend on how many passing interceptions each quarterback throws during the match, with different thresholds defining various market resolutions.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing interceptions recorded by either Jared Goff or Geno Smith in the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For any given quarterback, if they are active for the game but do not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a quarterback takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by a penalty — the market resolves according to the actual number of passing interceptions they record during the game. Each market has a specific threshold (1+, 2+, or 3+ interceptions) that determines a 'Yes' resolution; failure to meet the threshold results in a 'No' resolution. All markets are independent and evaluated separately, each applying its own threshold to the respective quarterback.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply how each side interprets the likelihood of an event. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for informed trading.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by traders' beliefs about the probability of those outcomes occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date collective intelligence on the event.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions in the New York J vs Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual number of interceptions thrown during the game.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding quarterback injuries for either team, changes in weather conditions expected during the game, or even strategic adjustments announced by the coaching staffs could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected reports about defensive schemes or a key player’s performance could also cause significant price movements. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.