TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting how many points each team will score in the first half of an upcoming football game. Bettors can choose specific point thresholds for either team to exceed or not exceed during that time period.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either New York J or Detroit in the first half of the Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold (ranging from 2.5 to 30.5 points) that must be exceeded for that particular market to resolve to 'Yes'. If the specified team fails to meet or exceed its threshold, the market resolves to 'No'. All markets operate independently – the outcome of one does not affect others. The official game result, as recorded by the governing league, determines resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of informed bettors believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can express that view in this market, potentially driving the odds in a different direction. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently as new information becomes available, and can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at various price points, giving you an idea of how easily you can enter or exit a position. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market is constantly updating to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by each team in the first half of the game. Official scoring records will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the results against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the New York or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they impact the game's style of play, could also shift probabilities. Furthermore, real-time game performance during the first quarter – such as a dominant start by one team – might lead to rapid adjustments in the market as traders react to the unfolding events. Public sentiment and expert analysis can also contribute to price fluctuations.