TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of outcomes between the first half and the full game result in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first half result and the final game result to match a predefined scenario for resolution. The outcomes encompass all possible win conditions, including ties, for both halves and the full game.
The markets resolve based on the combined outcomes of the first half and the full game result, including any overtime periods, of the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. For a market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the specified first half result and the specified full game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first half or full game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to one of nine possible combinations of first half and full game results, covering all win scenarios for both teams and potential ties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If there's a significant discrepancy, it can suggest that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence price movements, and traders adjust their positions based on new information and their own analysis. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the New York vs Detroit match – specifically, the first half and full-time results – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified information to ensure an accurate and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching decisions are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and move the market, as traders react to the perceived implications of these actions. Monitoring these signals is key to understanding potential market movements.