TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which Detroit player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against New York J. It covers all possible scoring contributors, including individual players and the defensive unit, with a specific outcome for scenarios where Detroit fails to score any touchdowns.
These markets determine whether a specified Detroit player or the Detroit defense scores the first touchdown in the New York J vs Detroit game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different potential scorer, including individual players and the defensive unit, with a separate market for the scenario where Detroit does not score any touchdowns. If the designated player or unit scores the first touchdown, that specific market resolves to Yes, and all others resolve to No. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes a snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined solely by whether they score the first touchdown. If no Detroit touchdowns are scored in the game, the "No Touchdown" market resolves to Yes, and all player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent resolution based on game events and participant involvement.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. These differences can stem from varying levels of information or differing interpretations of the same information, making this market a valuable data point alongside sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing the probability of Detroit scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance; a price of 50 indicates a 50% probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, and the market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time estimation of the likelihood of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine whether Detroit scored the first touchdown in the game against New York J. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and verifiable result. The platform will then settle all outstanding contracts based on whether the outcome matches the 'yes' or 'no' prediction.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, especially the Detroit offense, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, or even significant shifts in public opinion, can all contribute to fluctuations in the market price as traders adjust their predictions leading up to Sep 27, 2026.