TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 10:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an NHL hockey match between New York I and New York R, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether either team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams in the game.
The event consists of four markets, each evaluating different goal-differential thresholds for either New York I or New York R to win by. If New York R wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If New York R wins by more than 1.5 goals, the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New York I wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if New York I wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. All markets share a common secondary rule: if the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment under scheduling disruptions.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to reflect the true probability of an event occurring. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market dynamically adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially providing a more accurate forecast. It’s common to see differences, especially as the event approaches and more volume is traded.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined based on the official result of the game between New York I and New York R. The resolution will reflect whether New York R wins by over 1.5 goals, or not. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact playing conditions, could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or starting lineups could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders can signal shifts in sentiment, potentially driving the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving dynamics of this market.