TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks offensive performance thresholds in a football game between two teams, focusing on whether each team surpasses specific yardage milestones. The outcome depends entirely on the official game statistics for total offensive yards achieved by each team.
All markets resolve based on the total offensive yards recorded by either New York G or Los Angeles R in their Pro Football game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific yardage threshold (250+, 300+, 350+, 400+, or 450+) for one team. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks may set lines to encourage balanced betting, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the probabilities associated with the New York G and Los Angeles R total yardage, although direct comparisons should be made cautiously due to differing market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges for the combined total of both teams. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price fluctuations are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential total yards for the game.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total yardage achieved by the New York G and Los Angeles R teams will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The official statistics released by the NFL will serve as the source for determining the total yardage, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in the market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York G or Los Angeles R teams would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that favor either a passing or running game, could also impact the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team performance or matchups could lead to fluctuations in the odds for this market.