TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Los Angeles R will win their professional football game against New York G by more than 6.5 points. Currently, the probability of Los Angeles R winning by over 6.5 points on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on the final point differential in the New York G vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if Los Angeles R wins by more than 20.5 points when the game is played on September 21, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the final official score of the New York G vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 21, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the winning team exceeds the specified point differential indicated in the market title. If the game is canceled, forfeited, or otherwise incomplete per official league rules, all markets will resolve as 'No.' Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows anyone to trade and express their beliefs. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it may indicate disagreement about the true probability of an outcome. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast events as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than those used by traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast of the event's outcome, based solely on the beliefs of those trading contracts.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by official results released after the game concludes. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the actual spread, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the New York vs Los Angeles spread between now and Sep 22, 2026. Key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or significant news regarding team performance could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even public statements from coaches or players could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' relative strengths or weaknesses has the potential to impact trading activity and, consequently, the prices within this market. Monitoring these signals is crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing expectations.