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406,019
Markets across
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Closed: Sep 21, 10:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Matthew Stafford will throw 5 or more passing touchdowns in the New York G versus Los Angeles R pro football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Matthew Stafford: 5+ passing touchdowns a probability of 11.0%, while Jaxson Dart: 1+ passing touchdowns is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on official game statistics, with resolution determined if Jaxson Dart records 1+ passing touchdowns in the New York G vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026. Keep a close eye on the game itself, as the market resolves the day after the originally scheduled game date of September 21, 2026, to allow for official stats to be finalized.
All markets resolve based on the number of passing touchdowns recorded by designated quarterbacks during the specified football game. If a quarterback is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves according to the actual passing touchdowns recorded during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistent evaluation of each quarterback's performance thresholds from 1 to 5 touchdowns.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities in this market diverge from sportsbook odds, particularly as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially in events where public perception differs from informed analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting traders’ beliefs about the probability of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market constantly adjusts to new information and changing sentiment. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise, and vice versa. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing touchdowns scored in the game between New York G and Los Angeles R will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and the resulting payouts on Kalshi following the event’s conclusion.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either New York G or Los Angeles R, particularly quarterbacks or wide receivers, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could also impact passing game strategies and therefore the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and move the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for informed trading in this market.