TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks quarterback performance in a specific football game, focusing on how many times a player successfully connects with a receiver. Bettors can speculate on whether a player will meet certain completion thresholds, adding an additional layer of engagement to the game.
All markets in this event are resolved based on the number of passing completions achieved by specified quarterbacks during the New York G vs Los Angeles R Professional Football game scheduled for September 21, 2026. For each market, if the named quarterback records the specified number of completions or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if a quarterback is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a quarterback takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome is determined solely by the actual number of passing completions recorded during the game. These rules ensure that markets are resolved fairly, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not officially connected with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows traders to incorporate a wider range of information, including news, injuries, and even subtle factors not easily quantifiable. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently in response to new information than sportsbooks, particularly as the event draws closer. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of different outcomes, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of passing completions achieved by the relevant player(s) during the game will be used to determine the winning contract(s). The official game statistics, as reported by a reputable sports data provider, will serve as the source of truth for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual number of passing completions will be paid out according to the market’s pricing at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players, particularly the quarterback(s) involved, would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or heavy rain, could affect passing strategies and completion rates. Unexpected shifts in team tactics or coaching decisions could also influence the market. Finally, late-breaking news about player availability or performance expectations could lead to substantial movements in the odds as traders react to the latest information before the market closes.