TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
For this market to settle positively, both teams need to score at least one point during the second quarter of the regulation period. The analysis excludes overtime scoring and focuses solely on the standard game timeline for that quarter.
If New York G and Los Angeles R both score points in the 2nd quarter of the New York G vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when there’s a lot of uncertainty. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as new information becomes available and is incorporated by both groups. It is important to note that the factors influencing each are different.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices they determine. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, both teams scoring in the 2nd quarter of the New York vs Los Angeles game. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly reflect new information and changing sentiment among traders.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will depend on whether both the New York and Los Angeles teams score at least one point during the second quarter of their game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if both teams met this condition. The final price on Kalshi at the time of resolution will reflect the final probability assigned to this outcome by the market as a whole.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New York or Los Angeles teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in offensive or defensive strategies announced by either team could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, if the game is played outdoors, could also play a role. Finally, even general shifts in public perception, fueled by sports analysts or media coverage, can influence trading activity and move the price on Kalshi before the game takes place.