TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 8:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks which player will score the first touchdown in the New York G versus Los Angeles R professional football game. Currently, Kalshi gives Davante Adams a 20.0% probability of scoring first, closely matched by Kyren Williams at 20.0%. The market will resolve based on whether Theo Johnson scores the first touchdown in the game, as determined by official game records. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 21, 2026, as the outcome will be determined by the events of that day and the market will resolve by September 22, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the first touchdown scored in the specified football game. For player and defensive unit markets, if the designated participant is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a participant takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves according to whether that participant scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored in the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other participant markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player and team defense markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities align with sportsbook odds if there’s widespread agreement, but divergences often appear due to differing opinions or access to unique insights. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes than traditional polls or analysts.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown in the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The outcome will be determined by reviewing the official game log and confirming the player credited with the first touchdown. No further information about the resolution process is available at this time.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. A key player being ruled out would likely cause their contract price to decrease, while positive reports on a player’s health could increase it. Game-day developments, such as a player’s performance in the first few drives, could also lead to rapid price adjustments in this market. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups are also likely to move the market.