TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 9:01 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which player or team unit will score the first touchdown for the Los Angeles R in an upcoming football game against New York G. Each market is tied to a specific participant, with outcomes determined by their performance during the game.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified player or team unit scores the first touchdown for Los Angeles R in the designated game. If the participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a participant takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market outcome depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown for Los Angeles R. If no touchdowns are scored by Los Angeles R in the game, the 'No Los Angeles R Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other player-specific markets resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all participant markets, ensuring consistent resolution criteria for each potential scorer.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will shift accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on the market, as prediction markets tend to become more accurate as volume increases and information aggregates.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which player officially scores the first touchdown for the Los Angeles R team during the game. Official game statistics and records will be used to determine the winner. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. The resolution process is designed to be objective and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for the Los Angeles R team, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence the expected game plan and impact individual player performance. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis regarding team matchups or player form could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations.