TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team needs to score for the market to resolve positively.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by either the New York G or Los Angeles R team in the first half of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the specified team scores more than that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. The thresholds range from just over 2.5 points to over 30.5 points, offering varying levels of difficulty for each outcome. All markets are independent, and the resolution depends solely on the actual points scored in the first half of the game as it was originally scheduled. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can offer insights into where the market believes sportsbooks may be over or underestimating probabilities for the New York vs Los Angeles game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the first half team total. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of market sentiment. The market depth indicates how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first half of the New York vs Los Angeles game will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then receive payouts based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other games leading up to the New York vs Los Angeles game could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in outlook, causing prices to adjust rapidly. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.