TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 11:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting both the outcome of the first half and the final result of a football game between two teams. Success requires accurately forecasting whether a team leads at halftime and who wins or ties the full match, creating a layered challenge for participants.
These markets require participants to correctly predict both the first half outcome and the final game result for the New York G vs Los Angeles R Pro Football game scheduled for September 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific combination of first half leader (Los Angeles R, New York G, or tie) and full game result (Los Angeles R win, New York G win, or tie). A market resolves to 'Yes' only if both the specified first half condition and the specified full game result occur exactly as described. If either condition is not met, the market resolves to 'No.' Postponements within 48 hours of the original start time do not affect resolution, which remains based on the official final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Overtime periods are included in determining the full game result.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market relies on the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the likelihood of a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially moving faster than sportsbook odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn't determined by a central authority, but rather by the supply and demand created by traders actively expressing their beliefs about the New York G vs Los Angeles R match.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the New York G vs Los Angeles R match – whether it’s the 1st Half or Fulltime result – will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Major upsets in other games involving these teams, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, could also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants on Kalshi can create momentum and drive price movements. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insight into how this market might evolve before it resolves.