TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals each team scores in an upcoming MLS soccer match between New York City and Toronto. The outcomes depend on whether the teams exceed specific goal thresholds by the end of regular play, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
These markets assess whether New York City or Toronto will score above specified goal thresholds in their MLS match scheduled for July 31, 2026. Each market resolves based on the total goals scored by the respective team after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty shootout results. Own goals are counted toward the team to which they are awarded. The thresholds for New York City are set at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals, while Toronto’s thresholds are similarly set at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if a team exceeds its designated threshold; otherwise, the market resolves to 'No'. All markets are evaluated solely on the performance within the standard match duration, ensuring consistency across the different scoring benchmarks for each team.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a broader range of opinions and can move more quickly based on trader activity. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical data and analyst forecasts, this market incorporates real-time betting and can show different implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the majority view. The market’s probability is derived from the relative prices of its two possible outcomes, adjusted for liquidity and trader positioning. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for rapid shifts based on new data or sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official statistics released after the game concludes, reflecting the combined performance of both teams as recorded by recognized sports authorities.
Injuries, weather conditions, and lineup changes can shift expectations for team performance and directly impact this market. Key moments like recent game outcomes, player form, and coaching strategies may also cause price swings. As Aug 1, 2026 approaches, any last-minute news affecting either team's capacity to score will likely drive volume and change odds on Kalshi.