TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York City vs Toronto: Spread
kalshi

New York City vs Toronto: Spread

Volume:
$165,415

New York City wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

New York City wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 1, 2026

Closed: Jul 31, 9:42 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New York City wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,595
N/A
N/A
$72,113
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,080
N/A
N/A
$17,114
Settled
No
kalshi

New York City wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,237
N/A
N/A
$11,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Toronto wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,033
N/A
N/A
$6,543
Settled
No
kalshi

New York City wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,469
N/A
N/A
$3,095
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between New York City and Toronto, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It examines whether a team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams during the match. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different winning margins in the New York City vs Toronto MLS soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: New York City winning by more than 2.5 goals, New York City winning by more than 1.5 goals, Toronto winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Toronto winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, using publicly available match results as the sole determinant of outcomes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the NYC vs Toronto spread market. It shows how traders are positioning around the point spread for this upcoming contest, with updates reflecting market sentiment and liquidity. The display includes current top-outcome probabilities and total volume of $165,415, giving you a snapshot of betting patterns as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect broader trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and betting structures. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on expected point differentials, sometimes pricing in nuances like recent team form or injury updates more quickly.

This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game result and point differential, which is then matched against market positions to settle all contracts.

Injuries to key players, coaching strategy shifts, or recent performance trends can all shift expectations for the point spread and move this market. Additionally, any major news affecting either team's morale or lineup — such as trades or disciplinary actions — may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.