TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 9:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between New York City and Toronto, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It examines whether a team secures a win by a specific number of goals, reflecting the competitive balance and performance of both teams during the match. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins in the New York City vs Toronto MLS soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are considered: New York City winning by more than 2.5 goals, New York City winning by more than 1.5 goals, Toronto winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Toronto winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty phases excluded from consideration. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, using publicly available match results as the sole determinant of outcomes.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect broader trader sentiment and can diverge from traditional sportsbook lines due to different participant dynamics and betting structures. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytical models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on expected point differentials, sometimes pricing in nuances like recent team form or injury updates more quickly.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official game result and point differential, which is then matched against market positions to settle all contracts.
Injuries to key players, coaching strategy shifts, or recent performance trends can all shift expectations for the point spread and move this market. Additionally, any major news affecting either team's morale or lineup — such as trades or disciplinary actions — may cause rapid price adjustments as traders reassess probabilities.