TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the New York City versus New York RB match. Bettors will be analyzing team form, head-to-head history, and potential tactical approaches. The spread markets offer different criteria for decisive wins, reflecting varying levels of dominance expected from either side.
The event assesses whether New York City or New York RB achieves a win by a specified margin in their professional MLS soccer game on September 18, 2026. Markets define different winning margins: New York City must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while New York RB must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A market resolves to 'Yes' only if the winning team exceeds the specified goal differential. As with all markets, Kalshi emphasizes it has no official connection to the MLS, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a wider range of viewpoints being considered. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the NYCFC vs NYRB match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread is determined by the difference in prices between contracts representing New York RB winning by more than 1.5 goals and other potential outcomes, allowing traders to express their views on the likely margin of victory.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the NYCFC vs NYRB match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as determined by the league and reported by widely recognized sports news sources. The market will settle to 100 for the winning outcome, and 0 for all losing outcomes, based on whether New York RB wins by more than 1.5 goals, as determined by the official game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the NYCFC or NYRB would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, updates on team form, tactical changes, or even public sentiment expressed through social media and sports news could all contribute to price movements in this market. Unexpected announcements related to the game’s scheduling could also cause volatility.