TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 10:04 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether New York City or Necaxa achieves a decisive victory margin, focusing solely on regular time plus stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential between New York City and Necaxa in their professional Leagues Cup soccer match on August 13, 2026, considering only the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and excluding any extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. The first two markets require New York City to win by more than 2.5 or more than 1.5 goals respectively. The latter two markets require Necaxa to win by more than 1.5 goals or more than 2.5 goals respectively. If the specified condition for a market is met, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and market dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytical models and historical data, prediction markets allow participants to continuously adjust positions, which can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements ahead of key moments in the game.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds for this market through their buy and sell orders. The current implied probability reflects what participants believe about the likely point spread when the two teams face off. Market depth and order placement drive price discovery, allowing users to take positions at various price points. The system updates instantly with each trade, showing how expectations evolve ahead of Aug 14, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will settle the market, reflecting whether the game ended with the designated spread advantage or not, based on official match results.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and tactical decisions by coaches are all signals that could shift this market. Additionally, early game momentum or scoring swings may cause rapid adjustments in trader positioning, especially as the match approaches its final stages, influencing the perceived likelihood of different spread outcomes.