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406,422

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2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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61%

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New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union - First Team to Score

Volume:
$122,230

New York City FC

 - Polymarket

New York City FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 17, 2026

Closed: Aug 16, 8:31 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York City FC

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
20¢
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Yes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$120,629
N/A
N/A
$79,573
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,482
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Philadelphia Union

View
0%
45%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group focuses on determining which team will score first in the upcoming match between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, including the possibility that neither team scores within the specified time frame.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market scope mismatch — Polymarket resolves a soccer match first goal, while Kalshi references a baseball game first inning runHero tip: Do not treat these as correlated markets. They resolve to entirely different sporting events and timing frameworks. Only trade Polymarket for NYCFC vs Philadelphia Union soccer outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal in NYCFC vs Philadelphia Union soccer match within 90 minutes + stoppage time, excluding extra time/penalties. Uses official match statistics or credible reporting if stats unavailable. Key quote: "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded."
  • Kalshi: References first inning run in Washington vs New York M professional baseball game — entirely different sport, question, and timing framework. Key quote: "If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union, scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York City FC" if New York City FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Union" if Philadelphia Union are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Injuries, weather updates, and tactical announcements can all shift this market close to kickoff. Key moments like starting lineups or last-minute roster changes often cause rapid price swings, especially on lower-volume platforms. Traders will also watch for any pre-match momentum — strong recent form or motivational factors — that could influence who scores first when the whistle blows.