TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF - More Markets
Volume:
$855,631
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
New York City FC and Inter Miami CF compete in an MLS regular season match on March 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. The event group comprises spread markets (ranging from -1.5 to -2.5 goal differentials), over/under total goals markets (1.5 through 4.5 thresholds), and a both-teams-to-score binary. All markets resolve based on the official final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use fundamentally incompatible resolution scopes. Polymarket offers multiple binary markets on specific spread thresholds and totals, each with independent YES/NO outcomes. Kalshi's market resolves YES for any outcome (New York City win, tie, or Miami win), making it logically impossible to resolve NO under normal circumstances.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-hedge between Polymarket and Kalshi on this event group. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive (only one spread outcome can occur per game), while Kalshi's market will almost certainly resolve YES regardless of the final score. Treat Kalshi as a binary confirmation of game completion, not as a directional bet.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers six independent binary markets—four spread markets (NYCFC -1.5, NYCFC -2.5, Inter Miami -1.5, Inter Miami -2.5), three over/under totals (O/U 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), and one both-teams-to-score market. Each resolves YES or NO based on a specific threshold (e.g., 'NYCFC wins by 2+ goals' for the -1.5 spread). Exactly one spread outcome will occur; multiple total and BTTS outcomes may occur simultaneously. Resolution source: 'official final score published on mlssoccer.com' within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi collapses all possible match outcomes into a single market that resolves YES if 'New York City wins OR Tie OR Miami wins' after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. This market has no NO resolution path under normal match completion, making it a tautology. Resolution source: official MLS result, but scope is all-inclusive rather than outcome-specific.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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