TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC
kalshi
polymarket
predict

What is the result of New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC?

Volume:
$1,536,143

New York City FC

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 10:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

New York City FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$680,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York City

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$395,163
N/A
N/A
$270,565
Settled
Yes
predict

New York City FC

99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$7,033
$19,086
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Chicago Fire FC

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$664
$5,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago Fire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$224,651
N/A
N/A
$150,731
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Fire FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$115,865
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$638
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,339
N/A
N/A
$45,287
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Major League Soccer match between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC. The aggregated consensus probability for New York City FC to win stands at 97.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official MLS Soccer statistics. The match window closes on July 25, 2026, and the resolution date is estimated for July 26, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All three platforms apply identical resolution criteria: official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent postponement and cancellation rules across all outcome markets.Primary resolution logic: Official MLS Soccer statistics (mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores) as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
  • NYCFC win market resolves Yes if NYCFC scores more goals; otherwise No
  • Chicago Fire win market resolves Yes if Chicago Fire scores more goals; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals; otherwise No
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game: NYCFC win and Chicago Fire win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
  • Official final result as declared by MLS governing body is binding; post-resolution score revisions are not considered

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date
  • Cancellation without makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, NYCFC win and Chicago Fire win markets resolve No, while the draw market resolves Yes
  • Source timing: Official MLS statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead
  • Score revisions: Any revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Markets settle based on official MLS statistics published within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats are delayed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the New York City vs Chicago Fire MLS match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: a New York City victory, a Chicago Fire victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market activity across Polymarket and Kalshi for the NYCFC vs. Chicago Fire match. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this fixture, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and compare how each venue values the possible results. The cross-platform view reveals consensus expectations while highlighting where individual markets diverge. Total volume across both platforms reflects the combined interest in this matchup, giving you a comprehensive snapshot of how prediction markets are assessing the game's likely conclusion.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets derive prices from direct trader supply and demand. This often results in sharper, more efficient pricing on prediction markets because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand where consensus opinion diverges from professional oddsmaking on this market.

Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts in the lead-up to kickoff. Weather conditions and venue factors can also influence trader positioning. Major news—such as a key player's availability or unexpected lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement across both platforms. Social media sentiment and expert analysis may sway retail traders, while professional bettors monitor underlying fundamentals. As the match date approaches, odds typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and the true probability becomes clearer.