TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the outcome of the Major League Soccer match between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC. The aggregated consensus probability for New York City FC to win stands at 97.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, with resolution based on official MLS Soccer statistics. The match window closes on July 25, 2026, and the resolution date is estimated for July 26, 2026.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC.
Resolution is based on the final result of the New York City vs Chicago Fire MLS match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The match outcome resolves to one of three possibilities: a New York City victory, a Chicago Fire victory, or a tie. If the scheduled match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between New York City FC and Chicago Fire FC.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes through different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets derive prices from direct trader supply and demand. This often results in sharper, more efficient pricing on prediction markets because traders have direct financial incentive to correct mispricings. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand where consensus opinion diverges from professional oddsmaking on this market.
Key catalysts include team roster updates, injury announcements, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts in the lead-up to kickoff. Weather conditions and venue factors can also influence trader positioning. Major news—such as a key player's availability or unexpected lineup changes—typically triggers sharp price movement across both platforms. Social media sentiment and expert analysis may sway retail traders, while professional bettors monitor underlying fundamentals. As the match date approaches, odds typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and the true probability becomes clearer.