TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 5, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Victor Wembanyama will make at least two three-pointers in the New York at San Antonio matchup. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—Wembanyama recording 2+ threes—stands at 99.0%. Resolution is determined by official box score data from the game. Watch for the completion of the June 5, 2026 game, after which the final three-point total will be recorded and the market will settle.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed odds set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate decentralized beliefs from many participants. For New York at San Antonio: Three Pointers, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether the market is pricing this outcome more bullishly or bearishly than Vegas. These differences create opportunities for informed bettors to spot value.
On Kalshi, New York at San Antonio: Three Pointers is priced as a binary contract reflecting the implied probability of the specified outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between $0 and $1, with each contract worth $1 if the outcome occurs and $0 if it does not. The current market price reflects the collective assessment of all active traders. As new information emerges—such as injury reports, team form, or player performance—the price adjusts in real time, allowing you to enter or exit positions dynamically.
The New York at San Antonio: Three Pointers market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official final statistics from the NBA game, specifically the three-pointer metric specified in the market definition. Once the game concludes and official data is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on whether the condition was met. Traders should monitor the game closely as the resolution time approaches to ensure they understand the exact criteria and timing.
Key catalysts for price movement include pre-game injury announcements affecting either team's roster, recent shooting performance trends, and lineup changes. During the game itself, early three-point shooting success or failure will drive sharp repricing as traders react to live action. Momentum shifts, foul trouble for key shooters, and strategic adjustments by coaches can all influence the final outcome. Additionally, weather conditions or venue factors unique to San Antonio may impact shooting efficiency. Monitor team news and game flow closely to anticipate market moves.