TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between New Orleans and Los Angeles during the second quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'.
These markets resolve based on the point differential in the second quarter of the New Orleans vs Los Angeles Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team for a 'Yes' resolution. For markets where Los Angeles is the favorite, the condition is that Los Angeles wins the quarter by more than a set number of points (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5). Conversely, for markets where New Orleans is the favorite, the condition is that New Orleans wins the quarter by more than a set number of points (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5). Only points scored during the second quarter count toward these markets. All markets operate independently, meaning each has its own resolution criteria based on the exact point differential in that quarter.
On sportsbooks, the 2nd quarter spread for this matchup typically reflects sharp oddsmaker adjustments and public betting trends. Prediction markets, however, capture crowd-sourced sentiment through trader activity, often showing tighter spreads or different favorites. This can create notable gaps between the two pricing models, especially when trader sentiment diverges from traditional sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of various point-spread outcomes in the second quarter. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate trader view, with implied probabilities adjusting in real time based on volume and recent trades. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows rapid shifts as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game statistics for the second quarter, specifically the point differential between the two teams at the end of that period.
Key game developments like early momentum swings, injury updates for star players, or strategic adjustments by coaches can significantly impact expectations for the second-quarter point spread. Additionally, broader factors such as weather conditions or crowd energy may influence team performance in that specific quarter, prompting traders to adjust positions ahead of Aug 22, 2026.