TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the outcome of a professional football game between New Orleans and Detroit, focusing specifically on the margin of victory. Each market corresponds to a different possible score differential, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might win.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between New Orleans and Detroit in their full game, including any overtime periods, scheduled for September 13, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the actual point differential matches the specified range for any given market: exactly 0 points, between 1 to 6 points, between 7 to 14 points, or 15 or more points in either team's favor. All markets are independent, meaning each resolves separately according to its specific criteria. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – both sets of odds will adjust. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly and efficiently in response to new data than traditional sportsbooks, though discrepancies can still occur based on differing risk assessments.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point margin of the New Orleans vs Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result, as reported by a major sports news source, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Traders who correctly predicted the winning margin will receive a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. The market will close prior to the game’s completion to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New Orleans or Detroit teams would likely cause price shifts. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected scoring and therefore the margin. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also move the market. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can quickly alter the prices and probabilities associated with different outcomes.