TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves various incremental rushing yard thresholds in a designated football game. Each threshold represents a progressively higher yardage milestone the player must surpass during the match. The outcomes depend solely on the player's actual rushing performance in that game.
All markets evaluate whether Jahmyr Gibbs achieves specified rushing yard thresholds (ranging from 50+ to 160+) in the New Orleans vs Detroit professional football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if Gibbs records at least the stated yardage. If Gibbs is active but does not take a snap, all markets settle at the fair market price before kickoff. Once Gibbs takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by penalty—each market settles based strictly on the total rushing yards he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all threshold-based markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the insights of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when public opinion strongly favors one outcome. However, as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi and sportsbook lines tend to converge, as more information becomes available and both sides refine their assessments. Examining these differences can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total rushing yards. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price changes. The market depth—the number of contracts available at various price points—indicates the level of interest and liquidity for each outcome. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations for the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total rushing yards achieved by both the New Orleans and Detroit teams during the game will be used to determine the winning contracts. Official statistics from the NFL will serve as the source of truth for this determination. Traders who correctly predicted the rushing yard range will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution. It's important to monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the final result will impact the market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the New Orleans or Detroit teams would likely cause a shift in prices. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if heavy rain or snow is predicted, could also impact the expected rushing yard totals. Furthermore, updates on offensive line matchups and defensive strategies could influence traders' expectations. Finally, any late-breaking news regarding player availability or coaching decisions could lead to substantial price movements on Kalshi as traders react to the new information.