TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how often a specific player attempts to run with the ball during an upcoming football game between two teams. The outcome depends entirely on the player's performance in that single contest. Each market has a different threshold for the number of running attempts required for a positive result.
All markets evaluate whether Jahmyr Gibbs records a specified minimum number of rushing attempts (ranging from 15 to 21) in the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Gibbs meets or exceeds the threshold for any given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly across all markets: if Gibbs is active for the game but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once Gibbs takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves strictly based on the actual number of rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules ensure fair resolution under varying game conditions while maintaining consistency across all threshold-based markets.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply how each system processes data. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or late-breaking information, potentially offering insights beyond those captured in initial sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, the price of contracts in this market is determined by supply and demand. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This creates a fluid pricing environment where the market reflects the aggregate expectation of all participants regarding the number of rushing attempts. The current prices indicate the perceived probabilities of different outcomes, and the market will continue to evolve as new information becomes available leading up to the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of rushing attempts by both teams in the New Orleans versus Detroit game will be used to determine the winning contract. Official NFL game statistics will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes.
News regarding player injuries, particularly to key running backs for either the New Orleans Saints or the Detroit Lions, will likely have a substantial impact on this market. A change in the projected weather conditions for the game could also move the market, as teams tend to adjust their play-calling based on whether it's expected to be rainy or windy. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching decisions or offensive schemes could influence traders' expectations and shift the probabilities reflected in this market before it resolves around Sep 13, 2026.