TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of quarterback Jared Goff in a specific football game between New Orleans and Detroit. It focuses on how many times his passes are intercepted by the opposing team during the match. The outcome depends on whether he throws a certain number of interceptions, with different thresholds defined for each market.
The event evaluates Jared Goff's passing interceptions in the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026, across three markets, each with an increasing threshold of interceptions (1+, 2+, and 3+). For all markets, if Goff is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Goff takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on the actual number of passing interceptions he records during the game. The markets are independent, each resolving to 'Yes' if Goff meets or exceeds its specific interception threshold. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or early betting action. Sportsbooks may also adjust their odds to account for liability, while this market represents a more direct assessment of probability by traders. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds as new information emerges, and the market incorporates diverse perspectives. Comparing the two can offer a broader understanding of potential outcomes for this event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of the event outcome. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price indicates the implied probability of the event occurring; a higher price suggests a greater perceived chance of the outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the game's potential.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final number of passing interceptions in the New Orleans versus Detroit game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective determination of whether the total interceptions exceeded or fell short of the market's threshold. The platform will then determine the winning contracts based on this verified result, and payouts will be processed accordingly. Traders will know the outcome shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding the quarterbacks' health or playing status for either team – New Orleans or Detroit – would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions for passing, could also shift expectations. Unexpected reports about defensive strategies or key player matchups could further influence the market. Finally, any late-breaking news related to injuries or team dynamics could cause the price to move as traders react to the updated information.