TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of passing completions achieved by a specific quarterback in an upcoming football game. Each market has a different threshold for completions, allowing participants to speculate on various performance levels. The outcomes depend solely on the quarterback's in-game statistics.
These markets resolve based on the number of passing completions recorded by Jared Goff during the New Orleans vs Detroit Professional Football game scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 19 to 29 completions); if Goff meets or exceeds the threshold in that market, it resolves to Yes, otherwise No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if Goff is active but never takes a snap, the market settles at the fair market price before the game starts. However, once Goff takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the market resolves based strictly on the actual number of completions recorded during the game. These rules ensure clarity in settlement, accounting for both player participation and in-game performance.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an event occurring. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, driven by information and analysis from a diverse group of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different passing completion totals. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that specific outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment surrounding the New Orleans versus Detroit matchup.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official passing completion statistics from the New Orleans versus Detroit game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final market price will reflect the actual number of passing completions achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct completion total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The resolution process ensures transparency and accuracy in determining the market's outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key quarterbacks or wide receivers on either the New Orleans or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions expected to impact the passing game, could also shift prices. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price fluctuations.