TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of passing attempts made by quarterback Jared Goff during a specific football game. Each market has a different threshold for the number of attempts required for resolution, allowing participants to speculate on varying levels of offensive activity.
These markets resolve based on the total number of passing attempts recorded by Jared Goff in the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 29 to 39 attempts) that, if met or exceeded by Goff, results in a 'Yes' outcome. If Goff is active for the game but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Goff takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by a penalty—the markets settle based on the actual number of passing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all markets in this event, ensuring consistent evaluation of Goff's performance against each threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to openly buy and sell predictions, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. It’s common to see this market odds move in response to news or information that impacts perceptions of the event, sometimes anticipating shifts that sportsbooks are slower to react to. Examining the differences can reveal insights into public versus expert opinion on the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders set the odds by placing buy and sell orders. The price of a contract representing a specific outcome reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts for a particular number of passing attempts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined passing attempts by both the New Orleans Saints and the Detroit Pistons will be sourced from official game statistics. The contract corresponding to the closest number of passing attempts will be settled as winning. Traders will be able to see the official result and the payout of their contracts once the resolution process is complete. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Saints or Pistons, particularly the quarterbacks, would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as strong winds or rain, could affect passing game strategies and therefore the number of attempts. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in offensive play-calling could also move the market. Finally, any late-breaking information about team strategies or player matchups could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and price fluctuations.