TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in an upcoming football game, focusing on whether specified athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between New Orleans and Detroit scheduled for Sep 13, 2026. Each market specifies a player or team unit (D/ST) and a numeric threshold; the market resolves to Yes if the specified entity records more fantasy points than the threshold. Players or units that do not participate or lack assigned fantasy points are treated as scoring zero. The official Sleeper-published fantasy point totals at expiration are used without post-expiration adjustments or rounding. Scoring includes passing/rushing/receiving yards and touchdowns, kicking performances, defensive/special teams contributions (such as sacks, interceptions, and touchdowns), and reflects points allowed impacts for defensive units. All trademarks and league names belong to their respective owners, and the platform disclaims official affiliation with the governing league.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the wisdom of the crowd. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, ranges of total fantasy points for the Saints and Pistons. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total fantasy points scored by players from both the New Orleans Saints and the Detroit Pistons will be tallied from official sources. The market will then settle based on which range of total fantasy points was actually achieved during the game. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data to ensure accuracy and transparency in determining the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to starting lineups for either the Saints or the Pistons would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected announcements about player performance or strategic changes could also shift expectations. Furthermore, general news and analysis surrounding the teams’ prospects, or even broader trends in basketball performance, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Sep 13, 2026.