TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional football game between two teams, focusing on whether either team scores through a defensive or special teams play. The outcome depends on the occurrence of such a scoring play during the match. This scenario tests the teams' ability to generate points through non-offensive means.
If New Orleans or Detroit record at least 1 defensive or special teams touchdown in the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven purely by individuals expressing their beliefs about the probability of a defensive touchdown. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated a strong ability to forecast event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional methods. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders incorporate their own analysis into their predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of a defensive touchdown. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, providing insight into potential price movements and liquidity. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, following the conclusion of the New Orleans Saints versus Detroit Lions game. The outcome will be determined by whether a defensive touchdown is scored by either team during the game. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official game sources. The final score and official game statistics will be used to confirm whether a defensive touchdown occurred, and that determination will finalize the outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key defensive players for either the Saints or the Lions – such as injuries or suspensions – could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for passing, might increase the likelihood of a defensive touchdown. In-game events, like early turnovers or strong defensive performances, could also trigger substantial price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the teams' defensive capabilities or the game's overall dynamics has the potential to impact this market.