TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:26 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting which New Orleans player or unit will score the team's first touchdown in an upcoming football game against Detroit. Each market is tied to a specific player or the defensive unit, determining if they are the ones to achieve this scoring milestone.
Each market resolves based on whether the specified New Orleans player or unit scores the team's first touchdown in the game scheduled for September 13, 2026. If the designated player or unit is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a snap is taken—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined by whether that player or unit scores the first New Orleans touchdown. Importantly, if New Orleans fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No New Orleans Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player and unit markets resolve to No. This structure ensures that all outcomes are covered, providing clarity regardless of the game's scoring results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows anyone to trade their opinion. As more information becomes available – such as injury reports or weather forecasts – the prediction market can adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbooks. This is because the price is determined by continuous trading, incorporating a wider range of perspectives. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds closer to the event, but divergences can present opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player scored the first touchdown in the New Orleans versus Detroit game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. The outcome will be determined by the official record of the game, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players for either team, would have a substantial impact. Changes in weather forecasts, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the likelihood of different scoring scenarios. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also shift probabilities. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis from reputable sports analysts could influence trader sentiment and cause the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.