TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether either team will exceed specific point thresholds in the first half of an upcoming football game. Each outcome represents a different scoring benchmark that must be surpassed for the bet to succeed. The markets allow participants to assess team performance expectations in a single half of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either New Orleans or Detroit in the first half of the Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For any given market, if the specified team scores strictly more than the stated threshold (e.g., 'over 2.5 points') during the first half, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the team scores exactly the threshold or fewer, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent; resolution of one does not affect others. The official game result, including any approved overtime periods played in the first half, determines outcomes. If the game is canceled or postponed with no completed first-half play, all markets resolve as 'No.' Kalshi disclaims official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds influenced by house biases or public perception. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market’s price is determined purely by supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in the opposite direction. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been wagered on either side.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes for the New Orleans vs Detroit first half team totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Essentially, the price represents what it costs to take a position on a specific outcome, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first half team totals for the New Orleans vs Detroit game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official scorekeeping data available after the game’s conclusion. The market will determine which side – New Orleans or Detroit – achieved a higher team total in the first half, and contracts will pay out accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the New Orleans or Detroit teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news about team strategies or starting lineups could lead to shifts in the market price as traders adjust their expectations.