TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track specific combinations of first-half and full-game outcomes in an upcoming football match. Each market requires both the first-half result and the final game result to match the specified conditions for resolution. The outcomes consider possible wins for either team or a tie in the first half, combined with different final results for the full game.
All markets resolve based on the combined results of both the first half and the full game (including overtime) of the New Orleans vs Detroit Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For any market to resolve to 'Yes,' both the specified first-half result and the specified full-game result must occur exactly as described. If either the first-half or full-game result does not match the market's conditions, the market resolves to 'No.' Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game fails to start within the 48-hour window, markets will resolve to a fair price. These rules apply uniformly across all outcome-specific markets for this event.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the continuous flow of information and trader opinions. Sportsbooks set their initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market evolves as traders buy and sell contracts based on their own assessments. You may find that this market's probabilities align with sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event, or diverge based on unique insights and information held by market participants. It's a good practice to compare both to inform your own predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a lower probability, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth shows the volume of contracts available at different price points, giving you insight into the strength of conviction behind each prediction. Traders actively adjust their positions, influencing the price and probability until the event concludes.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the New Orleans vs Detroit game, specifically the winner of the first half and the full-time result as determined by official game statistics. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final game results to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or changes to the starting lineups for either the New Orleans or Detroit teams would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected weather conditions, particularly if they impact the game's playing style, could also move the market. Additionally, major news stories or public sentiment shifts regarding either team's performance or coaching decisions could influence trader behavior and, consequently, the market prices. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential market movements.