TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 2:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which Detroit player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming football game against New Orleans. It covers various offensive players and the defensive unit, providing a focused competition on early-game scoring contributions.
Each market resolves to Yes only if the specified Detroit player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the pre-game fair market price. Once a snap occurs—even if nullified by penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether that participant scores the first Detroit touchdown. If Detroit fails to score any touchdowns during the game, the 'No Detroit Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all individual player/unit markets automatically resolve to No. These rules apply uniformly across all ten markets, ensuring consistent evaluation criteria for each potential scorer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if the outcome occurs, and conversely, what they are willing to accept for a contract that pays out if it doesn’t. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time probability forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the New Orleans versus Detroit game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data. It’s important to note that the official game results, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will be the definitive source for determining the outcome of this market and fulfilling contract obligations.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the New Orleans or Detroit teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a run-heavy or pass-heavy offense, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media sentiment, could move the market. Finally, in-game events during the early stages of the game, such as a quick turnover or a strong defensive stand, could trigger rapid adjustments in the odds for the first Detroit touchdown.