TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 11:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on determining the margin of victory for either team specifically within the final quarter of a football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team in that quarter alone.
These markets assess how decisively either team wins the fourth quarter of the specified football game. Each market has a unique point differential threshold that must be surpassed by the winning team during that quarter. For markets where Dallas is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Dallas ends the fourth quarter with a lead exceeding specified margins (10.5, 7.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 2.5 points). Conversely, markets for New Orleans resolve positively if they hold a lead greater than set thresholds (2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points) at the end of the fourth quarter. Crucially, only points scored during the fourth quarter itself count—overtime points are excluded from all calculations. The game in question is the New Orleans vs Dallas Pro Football match scheduled for August 28, 2026. All markets operate independently, meaning each resolves based solely on its own criteria without influence from others.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds for this market often reflect sharper, crowd-sourced adjustments based on live trader sentiment and recent performance trends. While sportsbooks set fixed lines early, this market price evolves throughout the game, especially in response to momentum shifts or key plays in the fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score differential in the fourth quarter will be compared against the spread line to determine which side covers, closing all open positions at that point.