TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 10:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either New Orleans or Dallas specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on the point differential between New Orleans and Dallas during the third quarter of play in their game scheduled for August 28, 2026. Each market specifies a unique threshold that the winning team must exceed for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. If the actual point differential meets or exceeds the threshold specified in a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these determinations, and all markets operate independently—resolving based strictly on the performance within that single quarter without regard to the full-game result or any other quarter’s scoring.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced view of probabilities shaped by engaged fans and analytics enthusiasts. While sportsbooks may lean on broader public betting trends, this market can capture sharper insights, especially around line movements influenced by player performance or game momentum.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official game statistics will determine the point spread for the third quarter, and this market will close based on that verified result.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 29, 2026. Key performances in upcoming games, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategy may alter expectations for the 3rd quarter spread. Media narratives and expert analysis often influence trader sentiment as well. Any substantial shift in team momentum or playoff implications could prompt rapid price adjustments. Traders will watch injury reports and quarter-by-quarter scoring trends closely, as these factors directly impact the likelihood of each outcome.