TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of both teams in a football game, focusing specifically on how many times each team successfully tackles the opposing team's quarterback behind the line of scrimmage. The outcome depends on whether predetermined thresholds of these tackles, known as sacks, are met by either team.
The event resolves based on the total number of sacks recorded by each team during the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific sack threshold for either Baltimore or New Orleans, and resolves to Yes if the respective team achieves that threshold. Sacks recorded during 2-point conversion attempts are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the game's ultimate status.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often converging with—and sometimes diverging from—sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If there’s a significant difference between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real time. Traders are constantly evaluating the potential for sacks based on team performance, injuries, and other factors, and their actions directly influence the prices you see.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of sacks recorded during the New Orleans versus Baltimore game will determine the winning outcome. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the total sacks. Traders who correctly predicted the final sack total will be paid out according to the market’s payout structure at the time of resolution.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key defensive players for either team—such as injuries to pass rushers or offensive linemen—would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to be windy or rainy, could also affect the number of sacks, as they can impact passing offenses. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or adjustments could influence traders’ expectations and shift the odds. Monitoring these signals can help you identify potential trading opportunities before Sep 20, 2026.