TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many times they successfully kick the ball through the goalposts during scoring attempts. The outcome depends on whether each team reaches certain thresholds of these scoring plays.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the number of field goals made by each team in the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of field goals (1+, 2+, 3+, or 4+) that either team must achieve for the market to resolve as 'Yes'. All markets share a common secondary rule structure: resolution is based on the official final result of the game. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets will resolve to a fair price. These rules ensure consistent evaluation across all markets, accounting for potential game delays while maintaining fairness in resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probabilities of various outcomes. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the latest information and sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the event’s probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored in the New Orleans versus Baltimore game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their contracts align with the actual number of field goals scored in the game. The final price will reflect the market’s prediction accuracy.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key players on either team – injuries to kickers or changes in offensive strategy – could significantly shift expectations. Weather conditions, particularly wind, can also impact field goal success rates and therefore market prices. Unexpected changes in betting trends or large volume trades on Kalshi could also create movement. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of different field goal totals has the potential to move this market.