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404,028

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New Orleans vs Baltimore: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of New Orleans vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$2,150,809

New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points

 - Kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 3:57 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 6.5 points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$52,919
N/A
N/A
$31,349
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 3.5 points

100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,651
N/A
N/A
$25,767
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 5.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$32,579
N/A
N/A
$21,030
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,609
N/A
N/A
$21,339
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 4.5 points

100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,266
N/A
N/A
$17,100
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,598
N/A
N/A
$12,377
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 8.5 points

0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$818,539
N/A
N/A
$593,019
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points

0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$228,895
N/A
N/A
$197,620
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 7.5 points

0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$214,453
N/A
N/A
$164,193
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 6.5 points

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$183,115
N/A
N/A
$141,898
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 10.5 points

0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$126,155
N/A
N/A
$78,300
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 3.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,709
N/A
N/A
$38,724
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 13.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60,156
N/A
N/A
$44,393
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 14.5 points

0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,095
N/A
N/A
$44,796
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 5.5 points

0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29,747
N/A
N/A
$23,770
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 2.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,861
N/A
N/A
$21,189
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,192
N/A
N/A
$11,754
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 4.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,650
N/A
N/A
$11,496
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 16.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,543
N/A
N/A
$11,760
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,485
N/A
N/A
$14,431
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 7.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,618
N/A
N/A
$12,103
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 20.5 points

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,212
N/A
N/A
$11,329
Settled
No
kalshi

New Orleans wins by over 14.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,971
N/A
N/A
$9,550
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 27.5 points

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,986
N/A
N/A
$8,209
Settled
No
kalshi

Baltimore wins by over 23.5 points

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,282
N/A
N/A
$7,880
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Intro

This market asks whether New Orleans will win against Baltimore by more than 1.5 points. Currently, the probability of New Orleans winning by over 1.5 points on Kalshi is 54.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game, with resolution details found in the official game result if New Orleans wins by more than 4.5 points. Keep a close eye on the game itself, scheduled for September 20, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s outcome.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the point differential in the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the winning team's margin of victory. If Baltimore wins by exceeding the stated points in any of the markets labeled 'Baltimore wins by over X points,' that market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if New Orleans wins by exceeding the stated points in any market labeled 'New Orleans wins by over X points,' that market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, and each threshold represents a distinct outcome condition. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the NFL spread market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probabilities of New Orleans winning by over 4.5 points have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, which currently stands at $2,150,809. The 24-hour volume is $2,002,718, indicating recent interest. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential opportunities based on price movements and activity.

Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by trader predictions. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds are dynamic and change based on real-time trading activity, potentially converging with sportsbook lines as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the New Orleans versus Baltimore spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means that as more traders believe New Orleans will win by over 4.5 points, the price of contracts representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa. The market aggregates these individual predictions to create a collective forecast.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread achieved in the New Orleans versus Baltimore game will be the determining factor. If New Orleans wins by more than 4.5 points, contracts predicting that outcome will pay out. Otherwise, those contracts will expire worthless. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries for either New Orleans or Baltimore would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in public perception, reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, as weather conditions can impact scoring and game strategy. Any major developments related to team performance or coaching decisions could also contribute to volatility in this market.