TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the number of receptions achieved by specific players during an upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different reception threshold, allowing participants to bet on whether a player will meet or exceed that number during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total number of receptions recorded by the specified player in the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. If the player is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Once the player takes at least one snap—even if nullified by penalty—the market settles based on the actual receptions recorded during the game. Markets are resolved to 'Yes' if the player records the specified number of receptions or more; otherwise, they resolve to 'No'. The markets are independent, with each threshold (e.g., 3+, 4+, etc.) evaluated separately. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the available data regarding the New Orleans vs Baltimore game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible reception totals. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to the perceived likelihood of various reception outcomes for the players involved in the New Orleans and Baltimore matchup.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official reception statistics from the New Orleans vs Baltimore game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final reception totals for all relevant players will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. The market’s resolution will reflect the officially recorded statistics, providing a clear and objective outcome for all traders who participated in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key receivers or the opposing team’s defensive strategies could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly conditions that might favor passing or running plays, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching decisions could lead to adjustments in the odds, as traders react to new information and reassess the likely reception totals in the New Orleans and Baltimore game.