TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the receiving performance of specific players in an upcoming football game between New Orleans and Baltimore. Outcomes depend on whether designated players achieve various receiving yard thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game scheduled for Sep 20, 2026. For any player listed, if they are active for the game but never take a snap—meaning they are on the roster but do not participate in any offensive plays—the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game begins. However, once a player takes at least one snap, regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty, the market resolves strictly according to the actual receiving yards they record during the game. This consistent framework applies across all yardage thresholds for each named player, ensuring clarity and fairness in resolution based on in-game performance.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what's captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will diverge. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities, with this market sometimes offering more accurate forecasts, especially as new information emerges closer to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different receiving yard totals, and the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a specific outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by traders' individual assessments of player performance, team matchups, and potential game scripts, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final receiving yard totals for the New Orleans and Baltimore players are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official NFL statistics will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the official stats are released. This ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Injury reports for key receivers on either team would be a major catalyst, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect passing game strategies. Unexpected news regarding quarterback performance or defensive matchups could also drive price movement. Finally, any late-breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions could influence traders' assessments and shift the price of contracts on Kalshi.