TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 4:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performance in an upcoming professional football game, using a specific fantasy-point scoring system to determine outcomes.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring system applied to the full game (including overtime) between New Orleans and Baltimore scheduled for September 20, 2026. Each market specifies a threshold of fantasy points that a designated player or team unit must exceed for the market to resolve to 'Yes'. If a player does not participate or is not assigned a fantasy-point value by Sleeper, they are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of game expiration are used for resolution, with no additional rounding or post-expiration adjustments permitted. The scoring system awards points for various statistical categories including passing, rushing, receiving, kicking, and defensive/special teams contributions, with specific point values assigned to achievements such as touchdowns, yards gained, interceptions, sacks, and field goals. Defensive units receive points based on their performance in allowing points to the opposing team, with varying awards for different point allowances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total fantasy points scored in the Saints vs Ravens game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a collective assessment of the likely outcome, making it a dynamic reflection of informed opinion.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final fantasy point totals for players from both the Saints and Ravens will be aggregated from official sources, and the total will determine the outcome of this market. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available data and a clear determination of the final scores. Any disputes or ambiguities will be addressed according to Kalshi’s standard procedures.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to resolution. Injury reports for key players on either the Saints or Ravens would likely have a significant impact, as would any changes to player matchups or game-day conditions. Unexpected news regarding player availability, coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could also cause the market to shift. Furthermore, general sentiment and analysis from fantasy football experts and media outlets could influence trading activity and drive price movements in this market.