TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 1:47 PM EST
Kalshi
New Orleans and Baltimore will each have to score in all four quarters of their regulation-time gameplay. Any points from overtime periods won't factor into whether both teams succeeded in scoring each quarter.
If New Orleans and Baltimore both score points in every quarter of regulation of the New Orleans vs Baltimore Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective prediction of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see the implied probability from this market diverge from sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid and ask for contracts representing the probability of the event occurring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of 'yes' – that both teams will score in every quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability. The current price reflects the aggregated judgment of all participants on Kalshi and is constantly updated based on supply and demand for these contracts.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both the New Orleans Saints and the Baltimore Ravens score in each of the four quarters of the game. Official game statistics will be used to determine if this condition is met. The outcome will be based on the official game results, and the market will settle accordingly, reflecting whether the event occurred as predicted by traders on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Saints or the Ravens would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected, could also shift the market. Additionally, any late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could affect trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, large trading volume driven by informed bettors could cause substantial price movements in this market on Kalshi.