TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 20, 3:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both New Orleans and Baltimore during the final quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market has a different threshold for the combined points that need to be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a success.
All markets resolve based on the combined total points scored by New Orleans and Baltimore exclusively during the 4th quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for September 20, 2026, with overtime points excluded. Each market has a unique threshold—ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points—which determines whether the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the combined score meets or exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves positively; otherwise, it resolves negatively. The secondary rule consistently clarifies that only points scored during regulation 4th quarter play count, ensuring uniform evaluation across all markets.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of how opinions evolve in each venue. It's common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially as game day approaches and more data becomes available.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the 4th quarter of the New Orleans versus Baltimore game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The total points scored will be sourced from official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the New Orleans or Baltimore teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact predictions. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could lead to changes in trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.