TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

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New Orleans vs Baltimore: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of New Orleans vs Baltimore?

Volume:
$289,691

Derrick Henry

 - Kalshi

Derrick Henry - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 21, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 1:50 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Derrick Henry

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$61,198
N/A
N/A
$49,708
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elijah Sarratt

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
100¢
N/A
$1,995
N/A
N/A
$1,995
Settled
No
kalshi

Kendre Miller

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
100¢
N/A
$161
N/A
N/A
$161
Settled
No
kalshi

Bryce Lance

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85,845
N/A
N/A
$51,419
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,469
N/A
N/A
$32,939
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Shough

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,010
N/A
N/A
$25,479
Settled
No
kalshi

Devontez Walker

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,550
N/A
N/A
$12,350
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,276
N/A
N/A
$11,011
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Olave

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,008
N/A
N/A
$10,997
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Hibner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,935
N/A
N/A
$6,935
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashod Bateman

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,379
N/A
N/A
$6,041
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,389
N/A
N/A
$5,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Juwan Johnson

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,152
N/A
N/A
$5,142
Settled
No
kalshi

Alvin Kamara

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,256
N/A
N/A
$4,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Travis Etienne Jr.

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,639
N/A
N/A
$3,020
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens D/ST

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,092
N/A
N/A
$2,310
Settled
No
kalshi

Devaughn Vele

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,434
N/A
N/A
$2,424
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,388
N/A
N/A
$2,363
Settled
No
kalshi

Oscar Delp

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,045
N/A
N/A
$2,045
Settled
No
kalshi

Noah Fant

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,941
N/A
N/A
$1,941
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Moore

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$921
N/A
N/A
$921
Settled
No
kalshi

NO Saints D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
$389
Settled
No
kalshi

Durham Smythe

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
$325
Settled
No
kalshi

LaJohntay Wester

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$299
N/A
N/A
$299
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasheen Ali

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This market determines which team or scenario will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game. It allows participants to speculate on whether the New Orleans defense, the Baltimore defense, or neither team (resulting in no touchdown being scored first) will achieve this milestone.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which side—either the New Orleans Saints defense (NO Saints D/ST), the Baltimore Ravens defense (BAL Ravens D/ST), or No Touchdown—scores the first touchdown in the professional football game scheduled for September 20, 2026. If a team’s defensive unit scores the first touchdown, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no touchdowns are scored during the game, the No Touchdown market resolves to Yes, and all other markets resolve to No. For teams that are active but do not take a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before the game starts. Once a team takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome is determined by whether they score the first touchdown. These rules ensure clarity and fairness in resolving the market based on in-game events and player participation.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each potential player to score the first touchdown, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $181,150. You can also view the historical price movements to understand how the market has been behaving. Currently, the total volume for this market is $289,691. This provides a clear picture of where traders are focusing their attention and how confidence is shifting regarding which player will break the goal line first in this New Orleans versus Baltimore matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into the sportsbook's pricing. However, it's also possible that the sportsbook has a more accurate assessment, and the market will adjust accordingly over time.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The market aggregates these individual beliefs to create a collective forecast for the first touchdown scorer.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which player physically crossed the goal line for the first touchdown during the New Orleans versus Baltimore game. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome. Any potential disputes will be resolved based on the official game records and widely accepted football rules, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding injuries to key offensive players for either the New Orleans or Baltimore teams would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the expected game plan and affect which players are favored to score. Finally, any late-breaking news about player matchups or coaching strategies could lead to adjustments in trader sentiment and, consequently, the prices within this market.